Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.3%
Villarreal B
25.8%
Draw
34.9%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Villarreal B
vs
1.28
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS53.7%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
6.7%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).