Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →8.6%
Ajaccio
17.7%
Draw
73.7%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.50
Ajaccio
vs
2.01
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS33.6%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.8%
0-2
16.4%
0-3
11.0%
1-2
8.2%
1-1
7.7%
0-0
7.7%
0-4
5.5%
1-3
5.5%
1-0
4.5%
1-4
2.8%
0-5
2.2%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).