Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Barnstaple Town
19.0%
Draw
19.1%
Tavistock
Expected Goals (xG)
2.26
Barnstaple Town
vs
1.18
Tavistock
Markets
BTTS61.7%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-0
8.2%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.0%
3-2
4.3%
4-1
4.1%
0-1
4.1%
4-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).