Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.6%
Almeria
20.7%
Draw
18.7%
Logrones
Expected Goals (xG)
2.04
Almeria
vs
1.04
Logrones
Markets
BTTS56.1%
Over 0.595.5%
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
0-1
4.9%
0-0
4.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).