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03 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.4%
Queens Park Rangers
24.7%
Draw
48.9%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Queens Park Rangers

vs
1.55

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS51.0%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
0-0
7.0%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).