Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.7%
Oldham
24.7%
Draw
21.6%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Oldham
vs
0.86
Newport County
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.522.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
0-2
3.4%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).