Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.6%
Santa Clara
26.1%
Draw
12.3%
AVS
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
Santa Clara
vs
0.57
AVS
Markets
BTTS35.7%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.4%
2-0
14.5%
0-0
12.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-0
7.7%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
3.1%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.4%
0-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).