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16 Sept 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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53.4%
Quevilly Rouen
21.6%
Draw
24.9%
Concarneau

Expected Goals (xG)

1.77

Quevilly Rouen

vs
1.12

Concarneau

Markets

BTTS55.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.577.4%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
0-0
4.7%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).