Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Tenerife
29.1%
Draw
38.5%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Tenerife
vs
1.14
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS43.5%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.3%
0-1
13.2%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
11.3%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).