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DHT: 22CSV

25 Feb 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.2%
Eupen
25.0%
Draw
56.8%
Cercle Brugge

Expected Goals (xG)

0.87

Eupen

vs
1.72

Cercle Brugge

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
4.9%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).