Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.3%
Estrela
24.2%
Draw
22.5%
Boavista
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Estrela
vs
0.92
Boavista
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.1%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).