Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Ceuta
26.0%
Draw
38.9%
Granada
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Ceuta
vs
1.35
Granada
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.527.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.1%
0-2
6.6%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).