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15 Aug 2025 · 16:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.2%
Zagłębie Lubin
22.3%
Draw
25.5%
Lechia Gdańsk

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Zagłębie Lubin

vs
1.46

Lechia Gdańsk

Markets

BTTS68.4%
Over 0.596.5%
Over 1.588.1%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.548.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-0
6.3%
1-0
5.1%
3-2
4.7%
3-0
4.4%
0-0
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).