Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Ponferradina
29.2%
Draw
49.5%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Ponferradina
vs
1.26
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.586.4%
Over 1.558.9%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.5%
0-0
13.6%
1-1
12.4%
0-2
11.0%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
7.9%
0-3
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
2-0
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).