Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.4%
Gent
20.8%
Draw
18.7%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Gent
vs
1.17
Dender
Markets
BTTS62.1%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.543.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.2%
1-0
7.0%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-1
4.0%
0-0
3.9%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).