Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.2%
St Johnstone
26.6%
Draw
14.2%
Dunfermline
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
St Johnstone
vs
0.76
Dunfermline
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-0
12.4%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).