Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.3%
Billericay Town
25.8%
Draw
13.0%
Hednesford Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Billericay Town
vs
0.50
Hednesford Town
Markets
BTTS30.0%
Over 0.586.3%
Over 1.558.1%
Over 2.531.3%
Over 3.513.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.8%
2-0
15.0%
0-0
13.7%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-0
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-2
1.9%
0-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).