Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.8%
Catanzaro
25.4%
Draw
42.8%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Catanzaro
vs
1.71
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS63.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.5%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.5%
0-2
6.2%
0-1
6.2%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-0
4.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).