Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Gateshead
20.9%
Draw
51.4%
Aldershot
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Gateshead
vs
2.34
Aldershot
Markets
BTTS74.7%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.577.0%
Over 3.557.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
8.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.0%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
6.0%
2-3
5.4%
0-2
4.8%
3-2
4.0%
1-4
3.7%
0-3
3.7%
0-1
3.5%
3-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).