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22 Nov 2024 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.9%
Getafe
19.8%
Draw
7.3%
Valladolid

Expected Goals (xG)

1.93

Getafe

vs
0.45

Valladolid

Markets

BTTS31.0%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.542.3%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.7%
2-0
17.3%
3-0
11.1%
0-0
9.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-1
7.7%
4-0
5.4%
3-1
5.0%
0-1
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-0
2.1%
1-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).