⚽ FootballData
0 – 2
AHT: 02CSV

20 Aug 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
19.4%
Crawley Town
28.5%
Draw
52.1%
AFC Wimbledon

Expected Goals (xG)

0.65

Crawley Town

vs
1.27

AFC Wimbledon

Markets

BTTS33.9%
Over 0.585.9%
Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.512.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
19.1%
0-0
14.1%
0-2
11.9%
1-1
11.6%
1-0
10.0%
1-2
7.7%
0-3
5.0%
2-1
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).