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HHT: 10CSV

14 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.1%
Gateshead
24.3%
Draw
42.6%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Gateshead

vs
1.79

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS66.7%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.543.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
5.6%
0-1
5.4%
1-3
5.2%
1-0
4.6%
0-0
4.3%
2-0
4.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-1
4.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).