Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.9%
Salford
20.2%
Draw
17.9%
Newport County
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Salford
vs
0.97
Newport County
Markets
BTTS53.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
10.0%
1-1
9.5%
3-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
0-1
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-2
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).