Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Elche
25.1%
Draw
51.0%
Ath Madrid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Elche
vs
1.64
Ath Madrid
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.2%
0-0
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.2%
0-3
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).