Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.1%
Cartagena
18.0%
Draw
65.9%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Cartagena
vs
2.39
Santander
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.586.3%
Over 2.567.8%
Over 3.546.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-1
7.9%
1-3
7.6%
0-1
7.3%
0-3
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
1-4
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
2-3
4.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-0
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).