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AHT: 01CSV

24 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.0%
QPR
27.0%
Draw
39.1%
Norwich

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

QPR

vs
1.48

Norwich

Markets

BTTS58.5%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
6.9%
0-0
6.8%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).