Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.3%
Freiburg
24.9%
Draw
50.8%
Leverkusen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Freiburg
vs
1.77
Leverkusen
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-1
8.7%
0-2
8.3%
2-1
6.4%
0-0
6.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
1-0
5.5%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).