Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.4%
Watford
20.3%
Draw
69.4%
Bournemouth
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Watford
vs
2.24
Bournemouth
Markets
BTTS49.7%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.7%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.2%
0-1
9.7%
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.6%
0-3
9.1%
1-3
7.1%
0-0
6.0%
0-4
5.1%
1-4
4.0%
2-2
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).