Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Tamworth
27.2%
Draw
38.9%
Boston Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Tamworth
vs
1.46
Boston Utd
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.8%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).