Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.1%
Cittadella
27.4%
Draw
54.5%
Pisa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Cittadella
vs
1.59
Pisa
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.3%
Over 3.522.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.1%
1-1
12.9%
0-2
11.4%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
6.2%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).