Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Portsmouth
33.0%
Draw
34.8%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Portsmouth
vs
1.03
Stoke
Markets
BTTS41.4%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.560.9%
Over 2.532.7%
Over 3.514.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
14.5%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
12.0%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-3
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).