Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.7%
Genoa
29.6%
Draw
15.7%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Genoa
vs
0.64
Modena
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.1%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.0%
0-0
13.9%
2-0
12.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.2%
0-1
7.0%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-2
2.6%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).