Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.0%
Valladolid
25.5%
Draw
15.5%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Valladolid
vs
0.64
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS36.7%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.563.5%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.7%
2-0
13.4%
0-0
11.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
7.4%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-2
2.7%
4-0
2.6%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).