⚽ FootballData
1 – 3
AHT: 10

04 Oct 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
34.0%
Mechelen
25.5%
Draw
40.6%
Sint-Truiden

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Mechelen

vs
1.53

Sint-Truiden

Markets

BTTS59.3%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-0
7.0%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
2-0
5.2%
1-3
4.5%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).