Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.1%
Middlesbrough
27.1%
Draw
24.7%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.55
Middlesbrough
vs
1.05
Norwich
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.0%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.9%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).