Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Getafe
34.2%
Draw
33.7%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
Getafe
vs
0.90
Celta
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.582.5%
Over 1.553.2%
Over 2.526.1%
Over 3.510.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
17.5%
0-1
14.9%
1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.8%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
1-2
6.0%
2-1
5.8%
2-2
2.6%
0-3
2.1%
3-0
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).