Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.0%
Colchester
30.4%
Draw
33.7%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Colchester
vs
0.95
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.530.7%
Over 3.513.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
0-1
14.2%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).