Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.2%
Jagiellonia Białystok
21.8%
Draw
28.0%
Lechia Gdańsk
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Jagiellonia Białystok
vs
1.62
Lechia Gdańsk
Markets
BTTS72.0%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.573.4%
Over 3.553.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-2
5.1%
1-0
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
4-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).