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20 Aug 2025 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.5%
Redcar Athletic
39.7%
Draw
28.8%
Guisborough Town

Expected Goals (xG)

0.66

Redcar Athletic

vs
0.62

Guisborough Town

Markets

BTTS21.9%
Over 0.572.5%
Over 1.536.2%
Over 2.513.8%
Over 3.54.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-0
27.5%
1-0
18.8%
0-1
17.5%
1-1
11.0%
2-0
6.1%
0-2
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
1-2
3.5%
3-0
1.3%
2-2
1.2%
0-3
1.1%
3-1
0.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).