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AHT: 02CSV

22 Jun 2020 · 20:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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24.7%
Bologna
23.7%
Draw
51.6%
Juventus

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Bologna

vs
1.69

Juventus

Markets

BTTS53.9%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.530.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.2%
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-0
7.0%
2-1
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-3
5.4%
2-2
5.3%
0-3
5.0%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).