Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.4%
Sunderland
29.4%
Draw
42.2%
Coventry
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Sunderland
vs
1.35
Coventry
Markets
BTTS49.6%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.0%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
0-2
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).