Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →65.1%
Pisa
21.4%
Draw
13.5%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.12
Pisa
vs
0.87
Crotone
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.7%
3-0
8.0%
3-1
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).