Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.8%
St Pauli
19.7%
Draw
15.5%
Karlsruhe
Expected Goals (xG)
2.40
St Pauli
vs
1.13
Karlsruhe
Markets
BTTS62.2%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.4%
Over 3.547.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.6%
3-0
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.4%
4-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-0
4.1%
0-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).