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AHT: 12CSV

23 Aug 2024 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.9%
Annecy
22.2%
Draw
18.8%
Martigues

Expected Goals (xG)

1.68

Annecy

vs
0.81

Martigues

Markets

BTTS44.2%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.9%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
7.4%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).