Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.2%
Lorient
14.2%
Draw
8.6%
Dijon
Expected Goals (xG)
2.49
Lorient
vs
0.69
Dijon
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.561.6%
Over 3.539.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.9%
1-0
10.8%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
6.7%
4-0
6.7%
4-1
4.6%
0-0
3.8%
5-0
3.3%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).