Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.5%
Baltika Kaliningrad
12.1%
Draw
2.4%
Sochi
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Baltika Kaliningrad
vs
0.31
Sochi
Markets
BTTS24.9%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.7%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
18.6%
3-0
15.9%
1-0
14.0%
4-0
10.2%
0-0
6.2%
2-1
5.7%
5-0
5.2%
1-1
5.0%
3-1
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
0-1
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).