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HHT: 10CSV

14 May 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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22.7%
Crotone
20.2%
Draw
57.1%
Udinese

Expected Goals (xG)

1.30

Crotone

vs
2.15

Udinese

Markets

BTTS64.0%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.545.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.5%
1-1
8.7%
0-2
7.4%
0-1
7.0%
1-3
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.3%
2-3
4.4%
1-0
4.3%
1-4
3.7%
0-0
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).