Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.6%
Metz
13.0%
Draw
9.4%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Metz
vs
0.84
Caen
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.569.1%
Over 3.547.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.5%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
6.5%
1-1
5.9%
4-1
5.5%
2-2
3.7%
5-0
3.6%
3-2
3.4%
5-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).