Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.0%
Carlisle
27.7%
Draw
42.4%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Carlisle
vs
1.23
Accrington
Markets
BTTS43.8%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.564.4%
Over 2.538.2%
Over 3.518.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
1-1
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
0-0
10.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).