Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.3%
Aves
27.6%
Draw
34.1%
Guimaraes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Aves
vs
1.08
Guimaraes
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.590.0%
Over 1.565.1%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.9%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.0%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.8%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).